Economy

Philadelphia Manufacturers Expecting Positive 1st Half in 2017

Written by Sandy Williams


Manufacturers in the Philadelphia area were optimistic in December about general business activity, shipments, and employment. The index reading for current manufacturing activity increased from an index reading of 7.6 in November to 21.5 this month, according to the latest Manufacturing Business Outlook survey by the Philadelphia Federal Reserve.

The reading for December was the highest since November 2014. Shipments and new orders indexes were positive, increasing 3 points and falling 5 points, respectively. Longer delivery times were seen in December along with an increase in unfilled orders.

Pricing for inputs increased in December. The prices paid index rose 2 points following a 21 point increase in November. Input prices were reported as generally unchanged during the month. Sixteen percent of manufacturers reported selling prices were higher in December, opposed to 10 percent who said they were lower. Overall the index for current prices fell 10 points.

The future outlook was at its highest reading since January 2015. The future general activity index rose to 52.6 from 29.3 in November. Orders, shipments, and employment are expected to increase over the next six months. A notable share of those surveyed said they plan on increasing capital spending in the first half of 2017.

In a special question regarding expectations on costs for the coming year, firms said they expect wages and non-health benefits to increase more than 2 percent. Health benefits are expected to rise by 8 percent. Raw materials and energy are expected to increase by an average of 2.7 percent and 1.1 percent, respectively.

Latest in Economy

CRU: Dollar and bond yields rise, metal prices fall as Trump wins election

Donald Trump has won the US presidential election. The Republican party has re-taken control of the Senate. Votes are still being counted in many tight congressional races. But based on results so far, the Republicans seem likely to maintain control of the House of Representatives. If confirmed, this will give Trump considerable scope to pass legislation pursuing his agenda. What this means for US policy is not immediately obvious. Trump will not be inaugurated until Jan. 20. In the coming weeks and months, he will begin to assemble his cabinet, which may give a clearer signal on his policy priorities and approaches. Based on statements he made during the presidential campaign, we have set out the likely direction of his economic policy here and green policy here.