Final Thoughts
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Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
June 3, 2016
I received a couple of notes from trading companies thanking me for my article on Thursday evening (The Sky is NOT Falling… at least not yet) as I tried to put into context some of the pricing available for foreign steel, correct some misinformation and look at the bigger picture. Even as questions arise about demand, as long as supply is constrained and inventories are balanced or less than balanced, the domestic mills will have the wind to their backs.
Even so, no one should become complacent and accept that the status quo will exist for the rest of this year or even into next year. There always seems to be something to drive the train off the tracks and I expect it will happen to this cycle as well.
Scrap prices – at least the obsolete grades of scrap – are falling across the country. Dealers are telling SMU that this may be a single month event as shredded scrap may have to fill the holes left behind from too little prime grades as we move into auto shutdown schedules. The headlines will be about the price drops on the east coast but, in the Midwest and South where most of the steel is made the price drop is much less notable.
Right now it is not in the steel mill’s interest to have scrap prices tank. Much lower scrap prices can put pressure on steel prices although, I don’t think they will during the month of June.
I included one of the Premium level articles we produced late last week. The article on Key Market Indicators and the Construction Put in Place (CPIP) article which was produced at the same time, provide a glimpse into why we continue to be bullish on the steel industry. Take a few moments to read the KMI article and if you would like more information about upgrading to a Premium level customer please shoot me an email and I will provide you more details: John@SteelMarketUpdate.com.
As always your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, Publisher
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John Packard
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Final thoughts
Sheet prices didn’t roar back after Labor Day. But steel market news sure came out of the gate strong (or maybe chaotically is the better way to put it). First, the nearly $15-billion proposed sale of U.S. Steel to Nippon Steel exploded into the news. And when I say exploded, I mean that all sides seem to be escalating things now.
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Final thoughts
Welcome back from Labor Day, from Steel Summit, and from whatever fun you might have had over the long weekend. Personally, I enjoyed camping with friends and family near Starved Rock. No one starved, there were no major injuries, and we enjoyed the many splendors of Mystical Fire. (Speaking of which, does that have industrial uses? But I digress.)
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Final thoughts
I want to say a huge ‘thank you’ from all of us at SMU to all of you (more than 1,500!) who attended Steel Summit this year. We appreciate you taking time out of busy schedules to join us – whether that was up on stage, submitting thoughtful questions, or catching up over a drink and bite to eat. Also, a bit shoutout to everyone at SMU and at CRU who made this event possible. It’s no understatement to say that we have a fantastic team.
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Final thoughts
Day one and two of SMU's Steel Summit 2024 are officially in the books. We covered a lot of ground, and the agenda sure did deliver.
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Final thoughts
The big show is just about here. SMU Steel Summit will be getting underway on Monday. Where does the networking begin? I’d say at the airport. So don’t forget your business cards. And it can't hurt to wear a company golf shirt.