Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
May 11, 2016
Good evening (or Good Morning depending on when you read our newsletter) from Chicago. The mood is upbeat by most attending the Boy Scout Dinner due to the rising steel prices which have helped service centers and steel mills get healthier.
A couple of secondary steel service centers told me that their business has also been affected by the tightness in the market. At the beginning of my steel career I sold secondary galvanized steel. So, I was asking how the end customers of the secondary service centers were reacting to price and quality (secondary buyers can sometimes be a little claim happy). I was told that the market has changed. Service centers are walking away from the stubborn buyer who hasn’t yet accepted reality. One east coast secondary service center told me about a structural steel buyer who, in the past, refused to accept grade 60 coils. Now, the service center was being chastised by that same end user for not offering the same grade 60 coils to them (of course we can use them…!).
Having lived through the shortage years of 2004 and again in 2008 there was discussion about whether 2016 was the same kind of market as those years. From my perspective I don’t think so. Demand is not as strong as it was during those periods of time. The other thing that I am not seeing is any of the domestic mills renegotiating prices on existing orders. I am seeing longer lead times and some lateness but nothing like what happened during 2004 and early 2008.
And, everyone remembers what happened at the end of 2008…
Thank you to everyone I spoke with for your kind words about Steel Market Update (newsletter) and our Steel Summit Conference. I hope I see you all again in Atlanta at the end of August (29th – 31st).
It was nice to see a number of our former Steel 101 attendees at the dinner this evening. We learned a number have been promoted (some a number of times) and all were doing well. We are doing our next Steel 101 in Sylvania, OH next week. I am looking forward to a new crop of attendees. Our next one will be in November in Memphis, Tennessee with a tour of the Big River Steel.
As always your business is truly appreciated by all of us at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, Publisher

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
The US steel market has whipsawed upward on the prospect of expanded Section 232 tariffs of 25% being applied to imported steel - including downstream goods - on March 12. It seems pretty clear that domestic steel mills have the ear of the Trump administration when it comes to Section 232. The result? The much-anticipated Trump bump has finally arrived - and then some.

Final Thoughts
Some of you have told me that the current market feels about as crazy as early 2021 when demand snapped back after the initial outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic. Others have said it might be more like late February/early March 2022, when Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine – and, in the process, caused […]

Final Thoughts
To say we’ve entered a “Brave New World” since Jan. 20 might be an exaggeration, but we’ve definitely entered a different one.

Final Thoughts
I think it’s fair to say that the last few weeks – and last week especially – have been among the most intense for any of us covering steel (or aluminum).

Final Thoughts
A look at how SMU survey respondents are reacting to President Trump's recent actions on tariffs.