SMU Data and Models
Steel Mill Lead Times Now Averaging 1-3 Weeks Longer than One Year Ago
Written by John Packard
April 24, 2016
According to our latest flat rolled steel market survey which was conducted last week, steel mill lead times have continued to move out on every single one of the flat rolled products. The extended mill lead times are one of the primary reasons behind the increases in flat rolled steel prices, pressure on deliveries, allocations existing at certain mills on certain products and the need by many steel buyers to adjust buy schedules in light of the new lead times.
Hot rolled lead times are now being reported as averaging 4.87 weeks. This is an increase of almost one full week compared to one month ago and is almost two weeks longer than what we reported one year ago. HR lead times are now the most extended since the middle of May 2014 when we reported HRC lead times as averaging 4.91 weeks.
Cold rolled, just like hot rolled, is now averaging one week longer than what we reported one month ago and is more than 2.5 weeks longer than one year ago. CR lead times are the most extended since mid-April 2014 when we reported CRC lead times as averaging 7.84 weeks.
Based on our survey results, galvanized lead times are now averaging 8.42 weeks, more than one week longer than one month ago and almost three weeks longer than one year ago. The 8.42 weeks is the most extended lead time we have ever reported based on our survey results.
Galvalume lead times are also extended now being reported as averaging 8.08 weeks, almost 1.5 weeks longer than one month ago and 2.5 weeks longer than one year ago. This is also the longest lead time we have ever reported for Galvalume.
To see an interactive history of our Steel Mill Lead Time data, visit our website here.
John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models
SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices contrast at year end
Both of our Sentiment Indices remain in positive territory and indicate that steel buyers are optimistic about the success of their businesses.
SMU Survey: Mill lead times contract slightly, remain short
Steel mill production times have seen very little change since September, according to buyers participating in our latest market survey.
SMU Survey: Buyers report mills are slightly less flexible on pricing
Steel buyers of sheet and plate products say mills are still willing to bend on spot pricing this week, though not quite as much as they were two weeks prior, according to our most recent survey data.
December energy market update
Trends in energy prices and active rig counts are leading demand indicators for oil country tubular goods (OCTG), line pipe and other steel products
Apparent steel supply remained near two-year low in October
Referred to as ‘apparent steel supply’, we calculate this volume by combining domestic steel mill shipments with finished US steel imports and deducting total US steel exports.