SMU Data and Models

Steel Mill Lead Times Continue to Move Out
Written by John Packard
April 7, 2016
Steel mill lead times on all four flat rolled products have become more extended, according to those who responded to our most recent flat rolled steel market analysis. As lead times extend, steel buyers have to place more orders in order to protect their inventories. The more orders placed, the better chance for the domestic steel mills to collect higher flat rolled steel spot prices.
As our regular readers know, Steel Market Update writes articles about flat rolled steel mill lead times based on two sources: our twice monthly surveys and directly from steel buyers who receive lead time sheets from the mills (or receive them verbally). The following data is based on the lead times collected from our latest survey which concluded on Thursday (earlier today) of this week.
Hot rolled lead times averaged out to 4.59 weeks, 0.69 weeks higher than our last survey. This time last year they were 2.91 weeks.
The average lead time for cold rolled was 7.12 weeks, up from 6.60 in mid-March. One year ago lead times were 4.82 weeks.
Galvanized lead times were steady at 7.33 weeks. This time last year they were 5.24 weeks.
Galvalume lead times averaged 7.00 weeks, up 0.40 weeks from our last survey. One year ago they were 5.75 weeks.
To see an interactive history of our Steel Mill Lead Time data, visit our website here.

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU Survey: Current Buyers’ Sentiment Index jumps, Future Sentiment slips
SMU’s Current Buyers’ Sentiment Index rocketed up this week, while the Future Buyers’ Sentiment Index edged down. The two indices are almost at parity.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times stretch to 10-month highs
Buyers responding to our latest market survey reported that steel mill lead times were stretching out this week for sheet and plate products tracked by SMU. The results weren’t much of a surprise. Production times have begun moving out following a wave of frenzied buying in response to stricter Section 232 announced by the Trump […]

SMU Survey: Mills slam door on buyers looking to talk price
Mills’ flexibility on price for spot orders has taken a nosedive to levels not seen since the end of March 2023.

SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment indicates increased optimism
After reaching multi-month lows in mid-January, SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices rebounded this week to some of the highest readings recorded in months.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times fluctuate, extensions expected
While we have seen some movements in recent weeks, steel mill production times remain within a few days of the historical lows observed over the last two years, a trend observed since mid-2024.