Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
February 10, 2016
Sources are telling SMU that the Nucor Decatur EAF’s will be offline for 10 days in early March as the mill replaces one of the furnaces. This is added on top of the idling of the Granite City (USS) and Ashland (AK Steel) hot ends plus the closure of the USS Fairfield hot end.
Note that SMU incorrectly named AISI (American Iron and Steel Institute) as the originator of the email in the article “Senate Vote to on Customs Bill Thursday,” it has been corrected to American Institute for International Steel (AIIS).
Note that our sources are telling us the hot rolled antidumping preliminary duty announcement has been moved out a week. The AD announcement should be out around the 15th of March.
Our sources are telling us CSN (Brazil) is sold out for production/shipment for export to the U.S. through June. They are pulling back on taking new orders waiting to see what happens next with both trade cases and domestic prices.
I want to take a moment to welcome our newest members. We have added a number of new Premium members recently which we appreciate. As with any membership we welcome questions, comments and suggestions on how we can get better (or for subjects we need to cover). A good portion of our leads and article ideas come from our readers. You can reach us at info@SteelMarketUpdate.com or by phone at 800-432-3475.
As always your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, Publisher

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts

Final Thoughts
Despite some scary headlines lately (especially about Trump potentially firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell) this is not October 2008 (financial crisis) or March 2020 (onset of the pandemic). But it sure seems like we’ve taken a relatively strong economy and poured a thick sauce of uncertainty over it.

Final Thoughts
I put some of our survey data through ChatGpt, with interesting results.

Final Thoughts
Nearly 50% of respondents to our latest survey thought hot-rolled coil prices have already peaked. And where will those prices be two months from now? Responses were decidedly split on that question.

Final Thoughts
A modest week-to-week change in HR price understates a huge swing in expectations.

Final Thoughts
What happens when ChatGPT meets SMU's Market Chatter? No, this is not an idea for the latest Hollywood blockbuster. Then again, with what Hollywood is putting out these days, Chatter Meets Chat might just turn out to be a hit. Rather, it’s that old idea of putting theory into practice. Recently, I conducted an interview with Doug Schrock, managing principal of AI at public accounting and consulting firm Crowe. He gave some tips on how to implement AI into your business.