SMU Data and Models

Steel Mills Continue to Negotiate Flat Rolled Steel Pricing
Written by John Packard
August 20, 2015
Based on the results of our latest flat rolled steel market analysis (survey) the U.S. and Canadian steel mills continue to be willing to negotiate prices of hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized and Galvalume steels.
Benchmark hot rolled, which has been hit especially hard by the drought in orders from the energy markets, had 80 percent of our respondents reporting the mills are willing to negotiate prices this week. This is the same as what was reported at the beginning of the month and the mills are being slightly more agreeable to flexible steel pricing than what was measured during the months of May, June and July.
Cold rolled is another product where our respondents reported the mills are willing to negotiate pricing. Seventy-six percent of those responding to our queries on cold rolled reported the mills as being flexible. This is up 8 percentage points from the beginning of the month.
Galvanized is another product where a larger percentage of our respondents reported the mills as being willing to negotiate pricing. Eighty-eight percent of those responding reported the mills as being negotiable. This is up 10 percentage points from the beginning of the month and 30 percentage points higher than what we saw at the beginning of July.
Galvalume, which saw a small uptick in lead times, was the one product where a small majority reported the mills as willing to negotiate. Fifty-five percent reported the mills as negotiable. This is up from 33 percent at the beginning of the month and about the same as what we had measured during the months of May, June and the beginning of July.
A side note: The data for both lead times and negotiations comes from only service center and manufacturer respondents. We do not include commentary from the steel mills, trading companies or toll processors in this particular group of questions.
To see an interactive history of our Steel Mill Negotiations data, visit our website here.

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models

Apparent steel supply contracts in February
The amount of finished steel that entered the US market in February receded from January’s peak, according to our analysis of Department of Commerce and American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) data.

SMU Steel Survey: Sentiment Indices dip as buyer optimism softens
SMU’s Buyers’ Sentiment Indices experienced multi-point declines this week, though both remain positive and continue to reflect optimism among steel buyers for their companies' ability to be successful.

SMU Scrap Survey: Current Buyers’ Sentiment flat, Future Sentiment tumbles
SMU's Current Scrap Buyers' Sentiment Index remained flat this month, while the Future Sentiment Index declined.

SMU Survey: Steel mill lead times show diverging trends
Buyers responding to our latest market survey reported that sheet lead times continue to gradually decline from recent highs. Meanwhile, plate lead times increased to levels last seen one year ago.

SMU Survey: Mills unlikely to budge on price, buyers say
Four out of every five steel buyers who responded to our latest market survey say domestic mills are unwilling to negotiate on new order spot pricing. Mills have shown little flexibility on pricing for nearly two months.