SMU Data and Models

Steel Mill Lead Times Weaker than Last Year
Written by John Packard
August 20, 2015
Lead times for hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized and Galvalume steels continue to remain moderately short at most of the domestic steel mills according to the results of this week’s flat rolled steel market analysis.
Hot rolled lead times averaged 3.38 weeks which is essentially unchanged over the past month and below the 4 week average we were reporting in mid-June and early July. Last year at this time HRC lead times averaged 4.30 weeks, a full week longer than what we are seeing today.
Cold rolled lead times averaged 5.48 weeks, again essentially unchanged from the 5.65 weeks from the beginning of the month. CRC lead times have been basically flat going all the way back to May. One year ago lead times were one week longer at 6.38 weeks.
The story on galvanized is similar to that of cold rolled. Lead times averaged 5.58 weeks or down slightly from the 6.0 weeks reported at the beginning of August. Last year lead times were extended by one more week to 6.58 weeks.
Galvalume bucked the trend with our average being slightly longer at 6.50 weeks than the 6.14 weeks reported at the beginning of August. Galvalume lead times are close to what was reported one year ago (6.75 weeks).
To see an interactive history of our Steel Mill Lead Time data, visit our website here.
add pic

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU Survey: Current Buyers’ Sentiment Index jumps, Future Sentiment slips
SMU’s Current Buyers’ Sentiment Index rocketed up this week, while the Future Buyers’ Sentiment Index edged down. The two indices are almost at parity.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times stretch to 10-month highs
Buyers responding to our latest market survey reported that steel mill lead times were stretching out this week for sheet and plate products tracked by SMU. The results weren’t much of a surprise. Production times have begun moving out following a wave of frenzied buying in response to stricter Section 232 announced by the Trump […]

SMU Survey: Mills slam door on buyers looking to talk price
Mills’ flexibility on price for spot orders has taken a nosedive to levels not seen since the end of March 2023.

SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment indicates increased optimism
After reaching multi-month lows in mid-January, SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices rebounded this week to some of the highest readings recorded in months.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times fluctuate, extensions expected
While we have seen some movements in recent weeks, steel mill production times remain within a few days of the historical lows observed over the last two years, a trend observed since mid-2024.