SMU Data and Models
SMU Survey: Trade Related Results
Written by John Packard
July 12, 2015
Last week Steel Market Update (SMU) conducted our early July flat rolled steel market analysis (survey). We invited just under 600 companies to participate in our questionnaire which covered such items as Sentiment, pricing trends, purchasing trends, inventories, lead times, negotiations and more.
We placed two questions early during the survey process where we ask all of our invitees to comment on general industry questions.
The first new question we asked was, “Will the domestic mills file dumping suits on cold rolled (and possibly hot rolled)?”
Eighty three percent of those responding believed that the cold rolled trade suit is inevitable while only 17 percent are not believers.
There were a few comments left behind:
“[They] should have before coated products.” Trading Company.
“Cold rolled, probably not HR.” Service Center.
“I think most buyers are expecting this. If they were successful with HDG, why not HR and CR also.” Manufacturing Company.
The second question asked was, “Will the new ‘Level the Playing Field’ trade act impact your company’s future foreign purchases?”
The majority of the respondents (64 percent) said “No” while the balance (36 percent) responded that the new trade rules will impact future foreign purchases.
We received a number of comments by those responding to this question:
“Domestic mills force higher prices. For them it is not an issue of supply/demand. Foreign pricing helps us be competitive AND my customers can be more competitive. After all they are losing manufacturing business to the same countries that the dumping charges are being filed against. One way or another we get skinned alive.” Service Center.
“The field will not be level, that is crap. Also US mills don’t make light gauge.” Manufacturing Company.
“It is really hard to tell at this time but I do think it will.” Service Center.
“May have to rely on alternate sourcing.” Trading Company.
“Yes, but we will pursue other opportunities.” Manufacturing Company.
John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models
SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices contrast at year end
Both of our Sentiment Indices remain in positive territory and indicate that steel buyers are optimistic about the success of their businesses.
SMU Survey: Mill lead times contract slightly, remain short
Steel mill production times have seen very little change since September, according to buyers participating in our latest market survey.
SMU Survey: Buyers report mills are slightly less flexible on pricing
Steel buyers of sheet and plate products say mills are still willing to bend on spot pricing this week, though not quite as much as they were two weeks prior, according to our most recent survey data.
December energy market update
Trends in energy prices and active rig counts are leading demand indicators for oil country tubular goods (OCTG), line pipe and other steel products
Apparent steel supply remained near two-year low in October
Referred to as ‘apparent steel supply’, we calculate this volume by combining domestic steel mill shipments with finished US steel imports and deducting total US steel exports.