SMU Data and Models

Mill Lead Times Continue to Falter
Written by John Packard
January 22, 2015
Domestic flat rolled steel mill lead times continued to shrink based on the responses received in our most recent steel market survey.
Steel Market Update conducted our mid-January flat rolled steel market analysis this week. We invited over 600 companies to participate in the survey and, based on the average of the responses received, lead times fell on all four products tracked by SMU: hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized and Galvalume.
Hot rolled lead times were reported to be averaging 2.81 weeks, down from the 3.19 reported two weeks ago and well below the 4.09 weeks at this time last year. The 2.81 weeks is actually the shortest lead time we have seen since mid-April 2013.
Cold rolled lead times were reported to be averaging 4.90 weeks, down from 5.15 weeks at the beginning of January and well below the 6.41`weeks we saw in mid-January 2014.
Galvanized lead times are averaging 5.21 weeks, down from 5.50 weeks reported at the beginning of January and well below the 5.98 weeks reported at this time last year.
Galvalume lead times were reported to be averaging 5.83 weeks which is slightly lower than the 6.18 weeks measured at the beginning of January and almost a full week shorter than one year ago when we reported mid-January lead times on AZ as averaging 6.70 weeks.

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU Survey: Current Buyers’ Sentiment Index jumps, Future Sentiment slips
SMU’s Current Buyers’ Sentiment Index rocketed up this week, while the Future Buyers’ Sentiment Index edged down. The two indices are almost at parity.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times stretch to 10-month highs
Buyers responding to our latest market survey reported that steel mill lead times were stretching out this week for sheet and plate products tracked by SMU. The results weren’t much of a surprise. Production times have begun moving out following a wave of frenzied buying in response to stricter Section 232 announced by the Trump […]

SMU Survey: Mills slam door on buyers looking to talk price
Mills’ flexibility on price for spot orders has taken a nosedive to levels not seen since the end of March 2023.

SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment indicates increased optimism
After reaching multi-month lows in mid-January, SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices rebounded this week to some of the highest readings recorded in months.

SMU Survey: Mill lead times fluctuate, extensions expected
While we have seen some movements in recent weeks, steel mill production times remain within a few days of the historical lows observed over the last two years, a trend observed since mid-2024.