Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
November 3, 2014
We didn’t get the transcript of the AK Steel earnings conference call until this evening. A little late to do a full blown article. However, there were a few items that I wanted to point out to our readers. AK Steel reported that approximately 50 percent of their business is related to automotive. They reported automotive business is up about 6 or 7 percent while their automotive business (not counting Dearborn) was up 12 percent. AK reported that they are gaining automotive market share.
AK’s automotive shipments were the highest since the first quarter 2006.
They reported that the Ashland blast furnace hearth reline began on October 23rd and would last approximately 28 days (approximately the 20th of November). This should solve AK’s blast furnace issues as the furnace at Dearborn was rebuilt in 2007 and the Middletown blast furnace was relined in 2009. All three furnaces should be running full bore (my words not theirs) by mid-December 2014.
AK would not give guidance as to how many tons of steel was lost out of Dearborn when the Ford F-150 went to aluminum (one of the F-150 plants is right next to the Dearborn mill).
A reminder that our next Steel 101 workshop will be held in Mount Pleasant, South Carolina (right outside of Charleston) on January 20 & 21, 2015. You can find more details about our program and the tour of Nucor Berkeley (which we have been told will be exceptional) on our website. Registration is open and we have plenty of room. If you have any questions please contact me in my office: 800-432-3475.
I am in the office all week this week. I will be in New York City on Monday through Wednesday next week as I am speaking at the Cowen & Company conference on Wednesday morning. On Thursday and Friday I will be in Savannah, Georgia for the AWMI annual conference.
As always we want to thank you for your business which is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
Tell your friends and steel contacts about us…
John Packard, Publisher
John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
Despite some scary headlines lately (especially about Trump potentially firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell) this is not October 2008 (financial crisis) or March 2020 (onset of the pandemic). But it sure seems like we’ve taken a relatively strong economy and poured a thick sauce of uncertainty over it.
Final Thoughts
I put some of our survey data through ChatGpt, with interesting results.
Final Thoughts
Nearly 50% of respondents to our latest survey thought hot-rolled coil prices have already peaked. And where will those prices be two months from now? Responses were decidedly split on that question.
Final Thoughts
A modest week-to-week change in HR price understates a huge swing in expectations.
Final Thoughts
What happens when ChatGPT meets SMU's Market Chatter? No, this is not an idea for the latest Hollywood blockbuster. Then again, with what Hollywood is putting out these days, Chatter Meets Chat might just turn out to be a hit. Rather, it’s that old idea of putting theory into practice. Recently, I conducted an interview with Doug Schrock, managing principal of AI at public accounting and consulting firm Crowe. He gave some tips on how to implement AI into your business.