SMU Data and Models

SMU Survey: Lead Times Pull Back on Hot Rolled and Cold Rolled
Written by John Packard
May 8, 2014
Steel Market Update conducted our early May flat rolled steel market survey this week and the results are raising some questions as to whether the tightness in supply is beginning to abate. We found hot rolled lead times as shrinking half a week and cold rolled a little more than what we had reported from the previous survey conducted in the middle of April. However, lead times are extended when compared to this same time last year.
The next key will be to watch mill negotiations to see if any cracks are developing or if the mills at this point in time consider this a blip on their radar screens.
We did have a conversation with the president of a mid-sized service center earlier today who reported cold rolled spot tonnage being available at AK Steel, Mittal, Severstal and US Steel for production during the month of June. “They have plenty of steel,” he told us, “However, prices are not cheap. First comes availability and then it becomes price….”

John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU’s April at a glance
SMU’s Monthly Review provides a summary of our key steel market metrics for the previous month, with the latest data updated through April 30.

SMU Survey: Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices see modest recovery
SMU’s Buyers’ Sentiment Indices both improved this week, reversing the decline seen two weeks ago.

SMU Survey: Sheet and plate lead times flatten out
Sheet and plate lead times held steady this week, according to buyers responding to the latest SMU market survey. This week we saw little change from mid-April levels, with just one product (Galvalume) showing any significant movement.

SMU Survey: More mills willing to deal on sheet prices, less so on plate
Nearly two thirds of the steel buyers who responded to this week’s SMU survey say domestic mills are negotiable on spot prices. This increasing flexibility marks a significant shift from the firmer stance mills held in recent months.

SMU Survey: Sheet lead times ease further, plate hits one-year high
Steel buyers responding to this week’s SMU market survey report a continued softening in sheet lead times. Meanwhile, plate lead times have moderately extended and are at a one-year high.