Steel Products
SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index Finds Industry Slightly Less Optimistic
Written by John Packard
February 22, 2013
Steel Market Update (SMU) conducted our mid-February steel survey beginning on Monday and concluding on Thursday afternoon of this week. We invited approximately 685 active participants (buyers, sellers or executives) involved in the flat rolled steel segment of the industry to respond to our questions regarding market trends, pricing and Sentiment.
SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index was measured at +22 this week, down 5 points from the +27 we reported at the beginning of the month. Our Sentiment Index is finding the flat rolled steel community as being slightly less optimistic – but still in the optimistic range of our index. The monthly average is +24.5, a half point higher than the monthly average of January 2013.
SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index is much less optimistic this year than last when February averaged +43 and January +45.
The responses collected during our survey process found steel buyers and sellers uneasy with the current market conditions:
January and February have shown an uptick in business activity, but the needs are primarily for short term release. There continues to be a hesitancy for any longer term commitments. Service Center
There is so much uneasiness in economy right now, and even with the DOW and NASDAQ hitting new highs, I feel there are too much hypothetical expectations being included in the run up. It only sets us up for a fall. A lot of decision makers are sitting on their hands waiting for someone to truly make the first move. Manufacturing Company who then went on to say:
We are seeing a serious slowdown in the awarding of work. There is a bunch of work being bid, but very little actually being awarded to anyone…a lot of fishing.
Not as good as I want but better than the media reports. Steel Mill
Conditions in the HVAC industry in our area continue to be challenged. We are not seeing any real improvement over the last couple of years. HVAC Wholesaler
Three Month Moving Average Shows Improving Trend in Sentiment
Over the past three months we have seen our Steel Buyers Sentiment Index relatively stable with December averaging +22, January +24 and February +24.5. The three month moving average (3MMA) is now +23.5, an improvement over the previous 3MMA of +21.83.
About the SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index
SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index is a measurement of the current attitude of buyers and sellers of flat rolled steel products in North America regarding how they feel about their company’s opportunity for success in today’s market. It is a proprietary product developed by Steel Market Update for the North American steel industry.
Positive readings will run from + 10 to + 100 and the arrow will point to the right hand side of the meter located on the Home Page of our website indicating a positive or optimistic sentiment.
Negative readings will run from -10 to -100 and the arrow will point to the left hand side of the meter on our website indicating negative or pessimistic sentiment.
A reading of “0” (+/- 10) indicates a neutral sentiment (or slightly optimistic or pessimistic) which is most likely an indicator of a shift occurring in the marketplace.
Readings are developed through Steel Market Update market surveys which are conducted twice per month. We display the index reading on a meter on the Home Page of our website for all to enjoy.
Currently we send invitations to slightly less than 700 North American companies to participate in our survey. Our normal response rate is approximately 120-170 companies. Of those responding to this week’s survey 47 percent were manufacturing companies, 37 percent were service centers/distributors and the balance was made up of steel mills, trading companies and toll processors involved in the steel business.
Steel Market Update does canvass those being invited to participate in order to confirm their active participation in the flat rolled steel business. Our list is updated at least once per month and we are adding new companies on a continuous basis.
John Packard
Read more from John PackardLatest in Steel Products
Nucor’s weekly HR spot price unchanged, again
Nucor’s consumer spot price (CSP) for hot-rolled (HR) coil remains unchanged for another week – now on an 11-week streak. Nucor’s HR coil CSP, still at $750 per short ton (st), has been at that level since Nov. 12. The spot price for HR from Nucor’s joint-venture subsidiary California Steel Industries (CSI) is also flat […]
Price gap between domestic, offshore CRC narrows
The price spread between US-produced cold-rolled (CR) coil and offshore products tightened in the week ended Jan. 17. Domestic CR coil tags were lower week on week (w/w), while offshore products ticked higher. The result? The US premium over imports shrank. In our market check on Tuesday, Jan. 14, US CR coil prices averaged $895 […]
US HR price premium over imports narrows slightly
Hot-rolled (HR) coil prices ticked down in the US last week, while tags abroad varied. The result: US hot band margin over imports on a landed basis has narrowed to a slight extent. SMU’s average domestic HR price last week was $685 per short ton (st), down $5/st from the week before. US hot band […]
SMU Community Chat: Jan. 22 with Alan Kestenbaum, founder of Bedrock Industries
Alan Kestenbaum, the founder of Bedrock Industries and the former CEO of Stelco, will be the featured speaker on the next SMU Community Chat. The webinar will be on Wednesday, Jan. 22, at 11 am ET. It’s free to attend. You can register here. We’ll look at Stelco’s recent sale to Cleveland-Cliffs and what made […]
December service center shipments and inventories report
Flat rolled = 77.1 shipping days of supply Plate = 58.1 shipping days of supply Flat rolled Flat-rolled steel supply at US service centers ballooned in December with higher inventories as well as seasonally lower shipments. At the end of December, service centers carried 77.1 shipping days of flat-rolled steel supply on an adjusted basis, […]